Book Review: Climate Change and the Rise and Fall of Civilizations

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“Fagan says we’re now entering another era of extreme aridity, and that the
challenges of adapting to water shortages and crop failures won’t be easy.”

“The bad news is that elites try to super-manage their way out of droughts,
with disastrous results for ordinary people.”

” …for ordinary readers, Fagan’s book serves as another warning about a true
marvel: It only takes a temperature change of a
Celsius degree or two to rapidly
unsettle the order of things.”
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The Globe and Mail (Toronto, Ontario, Canada)
March 22, 2008

ENVIRONMENT

We’ve been here before, and it wasn’t pretty the first time
ANDREW NIKIFORUK

THE GREAT WARMING

Climate Change and the Rise and Fall of Civilizations

By Brian Fagan

Bloomsbury, 282 pages, $29.95

While the Arctic melts and our glaciers
disappear, one by one, like guests at a
late-night party, Canada’s political elites
remain the only guys too drunk to recognize that
the climate is changing. Let’s face it: Global
warming probably will never sober up Conservative
or Liberal leaders as long as tar-sands taxes
fill the federal treasury, lower the GST and give
the loonie a petro swagger. And they are not the
first group of rulers to ignore the weather.

During the medieval ages, a great warming similar
to our fossil-fuelled meltdown profoundly changed
civilizations from the Norse to the Khmer.
Archeologists call it the Medieval Warm Period,
and it served up a “silent and oft-ignored
killer”: drought. The dry-out even parched much
of present-day Alberta.

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Government Misses ESA Deadline for Ice Seal Threatened by Warming

Government Misses Endangered Species Act Deadline for Ice Seal Threatened by
Global Warming; Conservation Group Initiates Legal Process to Enforce Deadline

SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA – March 21 – Today the Center for Biological Diversity
notified the National Marine Fisheries Service of its intent to file suit against
the agency for missing the first deadline in the Endangered Species Act listing
process for the ribbon seal, imperiled by global warming and the melting of its
sea-ice habitat in the Bering Sea off Alaska.

The Endangered Species Act listing process was initiated by a scientific petition
filed by the Center on December 20, 2007. The Fisheries Service, a branch of the
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, was required to issue an initial
determination on the petition within 90 days. Following a positive initial finding
on the petition to list the ribbon seal, the Fisheries Service will be required to
commence a full status review for the species, the next step in the listing process
which precedes the decision whether to propose the species for listing as
threatened or endangered.

“The Arctic is in a crisis state from global warming,” said Shaye Wolf, a biologist
with the Center for Biological Diversity and lead author of the ribbon seal petition.
“An entire ecosystem is rapidly melting away, and we stand to lose not just the
polar bear, but also the ribbon seal and all other ice-dependent species if we do not
immediately take action to address global warming.”

The ribbon seal is dependent on Arctic sea ice for survival. During the late winter
through early summer, ribbon seals rely on the edge of the sea ice in the Bering and
Okhotsk seas off Alaska and Russia as safe habitat for giving birth and as a nursery
for their pups. But this winter sea-ice habitat is rapidly disappearing. If current
ice-loss trends from global warming continue, the ribbon seal faces likely extinction
by the end of the century.

The ribbon seal’s winter sea-ice habitat is projected to decline 40 percent by mid-
century under recent greenhouse gas emissions trends. Any remaining sea ice will be
much thinner and unlikely to last long enough for ribbon seals to finish rearing their
pups, leading to widespread pup mortality. Disturbingly, warming in the Arctic is
occurring at a rapid pace that is exceeding the predictions of the most advanced climate
models. Summer sea-ice extent in 2007 plummeted to a record minimum, which most climate
models forecast would not be reached until 2050.

In addition to loss of its sea-ice habitat from global warming, the ribbon seal faces
threats from oil and gas development in its habitat, and the growth of shipping in the
increasingly ice-free Arctic. Last month, important summer feeding areas for the ribbon
seal in the Chukchi Sea were leased for oil development, while seismic surveys are
planned for the area this summer.

“With rapid action to reduce carbon dioxide, methane, and black carbon emissions,
combined with a moratorium on new oil-and-gas development and shipping routes in the
Arctic, we can still save the ribbon seal, the polar bear, and the entire Arctic
ecosystem,” said Brendan Cummings, oceans program director for the Center. “But the
window of opportunity to act is closing rapidly.”

While the Fisheries Service has not yet published a finding on the ribbon seal as
required by law, on March 13 the agency briefly posted a press release to its Website
entitled “NOAA to Study Ice Seals for Possible Listing under Endangered Species Act.”
The press release announced a positive initial finding on the Center’s ribbon seal
petition. However, when the Center requested a copy of the finding, a spokesperson for
the Fisheries Service stated that the press release had been posted in error and refused
to say when the finding would be released. The press release has been removed from the
Fisheries Service’s Web site.

“The fact that the Fisheries Service drafted and posted a press release announcing a
positive finding on the ribbon seal petition clearly indicates that the scientists have
finished their review and believe the species may in fact need the protections of the
Endangered Species Act,” said Cummings. “Continued delay in releasing the required
finding can only be the result of politics, not science.”

Under the Endangered Species Act, seals, whales, and dolphins are under the jurisdiction
of the Fisheries Service, while polar bears and walruses are under the jurisdiction of the
Fish and Wildlife Service. The Fish and Wildlife Service is more than two months late in
issuing a final rule to protect the polar bear; a decision on the Center’s petition to
protect the Pacific walrus is due in May 2008.

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Climate Change Deepening World Water Crisis

Published on Thursday, March 20, 2008 by Inter Press Service
Climate Change Deepening World Water Crisis
by Thalif Deen

UNITED NATIONS – When U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon addressed the World
Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland last January, his primary focus was not
on the impending global economic recession but on the world’s growing water
crisis.0320 08

“A shortage of water resources could spell increased conflicts in the future,”
he told the annual gathering of business tycoons, academics and leaders from
governments, intergovernmental and non-governmental organisations.

“Population growth will make the problem worse. So will climate change. As the
global economy grows, so will its thirst. Many more conflicts lie just over
the horizon,” he warned.

Anders Berntell, executive director of the Stockholm International Water
Institute, says the lack of safe drinking water for over 1.0 billion people
worldwide, and the lack of safe sanitation for over 2.5 billion, “is an acute
and devastating humanitarian crisis.”

“But this is a crisis of management, not a water crisis per se, because it is
caused by a chronic lack of funding and inadequate understanding of the need
for sanitation and good hygiene at the local level,” Berntell told IPS.

He said: “This can and must be fixed through improved governance and management,
and increased funding, and sustained efforts to achieve the U.N.’s Millennium
Development Goals (MDGs),” which include the eradication of extreme poverty and
hunger and adequate water and sanitation.

A U.N. study released on the eve of World Water Day Mar. 22 says the lack of safe
drinking water is not confined to the world’s poorer nations; it also threatens
over 100 million Europeans.

The result: nearly 40 children in Europe, mostly in Eastern Europe, die every day
due to a water-related disease: diarrhoea.

In Eastern Europe, about 16 percent of the population still does not have access
to drinking water in their homes, while in rural areas, over half of all people
suffer from the lack of safe water and adequate sanitation.

“The world water crisis is definitely very bad, particularly because it deals with
mismanagement of water and how governments have failed to secure the involvement
of local communities in the management of water,” says Sunita Narain, director of
the New Delhi-based Centre for Science and Environment, and the 2005 winner of the
prestigious annual Stockholm Water Prize.

“We, as societies, have failed to use small amounts of water for bringing large
productivity gains,” she said.

However, today the world water crisis faces yet another challenge — one of climate
change, Narain told IPS.

“And it is this challenge which the world is completely failing to do anything
about, and which will jeopardise the water security of large numbers of people,
who already live on the margins of survival,” she declared.

Responding to a question, Berntell admitted there is a “world water crisis”
judging by the number of people without safe drinking water and basic sanitation.

And this, he said, “in a world which has the financial wealth and technical
wherewithal to solve these twin scandals”.

“We must find better ways to manage water resources, in so far as water pollution
is concerned, and to meet the food requirements of a human population which will
expand by over 3.0 billion people in 2050.”

“We also must meet the water-climate challenge. Everything could become much more
desperate and severe in the future if the proper steps are not taken,” he added.

So, it is important, Berntell argued, to make a distinction between the water
resource crisis — which is primarily caused by an overexploitation of water
resources for agricultural and industrial use, as well as pollution — and the water
service and sanitation crisis.

In a statement released Wednesday, the International Union for Conservation of
Nature (IUCN) said many rivers in developing countries and emerging economies are
now polluted to the brink of their collapse.

“The Yangtze, China’s longest river, is cancerous with pollution due to untreated
agriculture and industrial waste,” IUCN warned

Meanwhile, arguing that water shortages will drive future conflicts, the U.N.
secretary-general says the slaughter in Darfur — described as “genocide” by the
United States — was triggered by global climate change.

“It is no accident that the violence in Darfur erupted during the drought,” Ban
said. When Darfur’s land was rich, black farmers welcomed Arab herders and shared
their water.

With the drought, however, farmers fenced in their land to prevent overgrazing.
“For the first time in memory, there was no longer enough food and water for all.
Fighting broke out,” he said.

“Water is a classic common property resource. No one really owns the problem.
Therefore, no one really owns the solution,” he declared.

Asked if the United Nations and the international community are doing enough to
help resolve the problem or even draw attention to it, Narain told IPS:
“Definitely there has been an attempt over the last few years to understand both
the nature of the crisis as well as to draw attention to it.”

“However, I believe that the international community’s understanding of what needs
to be done to resolve the water crisis has been both weak as well as misplaced.”

The reason, she pointed out, “is that the international community does not
understand water and how it affects local communities and, therefore, the United
Nations and the international community is looking for quick fix technological
solutions to what is primarily a governance issue.”

Berntell took a different perspective. “Unquestionably,” he said, “water, and in
particular sanitation, remain far too low on the international agenda.”

Access to clean water and sanitation underpin all human development efforts, and
water issues are central to climate change adaptation and sustainable development.
“But much more needs to be done to address the spectrum of challenges,” he told IPS.

The U.N. system, and the “UN-Water” collaborative effort in particular, works
extremely hard and well and is consistently improving its efforts to better
coordinate and make more effective its work, he said.

The U.N.’s declaration of 2008 as the International Year of Sanitation has catalysed
increased action and attention to critical health and hygiene issues this year,
Berntell added.

“Still, the U.N. must strengthen its efforts to coordinate its monitoring and
reporting. They cannot afford to continue delivering too many reports on overlapping
issues at the same time.”

A good starting point, he said, would be the “five ones” identified by Britain: one
annual global monitoring report; one high-level global ministerial meeting on water;
at country level, one national plan for water and sanitation; one coordinating body;
and activities of U.N. agencies on water and sanitation to be coordinated by one lead
body under the U.N. Development Programme (UNDP) and its country plan.

© 2008 Inter Press Service

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Plum Creek Offers Up No Changes In Post-Hearing Brief

The ball is in LURC’s (Land Use Reg Commission) court…can’t wait to see
what they do w/ this now.

ASW

—————————- Original Message —————————-
Subject: Plum Creek Offers Up No Changes In Post-Hearing Brief
From:    “Jym St. Pierre” <jym@restore.org>
Date:    Tue, March 18, 2008 12:44 pm
To:      undisclosed-recipients: Undisclosed recipients;
————————————————————————–

For Release Tuesday, March 18, 2008 – 10:30 a.m.
Contacts:
Judy Berk, NRCM (207) 622-3101 X 203 (o)
Elyse Tipton, Maine Audubon (207) 781-2330, ext. 229 or (207) 632-8389

Despite Overwhelming Public Criticism of Moosehead Plan
Plum Creek Offers Up No Changes In Post-Hearing Brief

AUGUSTA, March 18, 2008 —Maine’s two leading environmental
organizations said today that Plum Creek, the nation’s largest
commercial landowner, has submitted a post-hearing brief that
dismissed long lists of concerns raised during hundreds of hours of
public testimony by Maine residents and technical experts about Plum
Creek’s plan to develop the Moosehead Lake region.

The executive directors of Maine Audubon and the Natural Resources
Council of Maine (NRCM) provided their analysis of the hearing record
and public comments on Plum Creek’s proposal at a news conference in
Augusta.

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